Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.532066 1.612179 1.694872 1.786762 1.886202 1.990770 2.109307
2026-02-08 1.353337 1.462486 1.579705 1.715540 1.869354 2.039002 2.241482
2026-02-15 1.237317 1.365986 1.508693 1.679944 1.881528 2.113387 2.403360
2026-02-22 1.158552 1.302420 1.466450 1.669397 1.916721 2.212344 2.598729
2026-03-01 1.086641 1.239935 1.418764 1.645808 1.930893 2.283392 2.762852
2026-03-08 1.007038 1.162282 1.346609 1.585404 1.892441 2.282629 2.831143
2026-03-15 0.963224 1.124594 1.319659 1.577670 1.917735 2.362657 3.010893
2026-03-22 0.947912 1.120378 1.332902 1.620420 2.009881 2.536374 3.335692
2026-03-29 0.916983 1.094393 1.316381 1.622216 2.045860 2.634383 3.559780
2026-04-05 0.892668 1.075255 1.307089 1.632155 2.092412 2.749375 3.819910
2026-04-12 0.864603 1.049689 1.287662 1.626461 2.115467 2.830527 4.034128
2026-04-19 0.834190 1.019575 1.260501 1.608034 2.118109 2.880038 4.200446
2026-04-26 0.797454 0.981304 1.222849 1.575990 2.103338 2.908840 4.348811
2026-05-03 0.756975 0.936682 1.174908 1.527095 2.060683 2.891260 4.416325
2026-05-10 0.727616 0.906016 1.144920 1.502627 2.053679 2.930532 4.592464
2026-05-17 0.706457 0.885660 1.128295 1.496678 2.074736 3.017548 4.870564
2026-05-24 0.682801 0.860895 1.104280 1.478197 2.074293 3.067629 5.083882
2026-05-31 0.650677 0.823239 1.060403 1.427412 2.018239 3.016073 5.083234
2026-06-07 0.634084 0.806747 1.046233 1.421237 2.034689 3.094000 5.365328
2026-06-14 0.631128 0.809281 1.059575 1.458098 2.125135 3.314733 5.999491
2026-06-21 0.618372 0.797306 1.050997 1.459774 2.155405 3.425751 6.405722
2026-06-28 0.608238 0.788703 1.046982 1.468353 2.198015 3.564610 6.908514
2026-07-05 0.595114 0.775290 1.035163 1.463523 2.216186 3.656415 7.312016